The British Museum speech risks backfiring

In a speech at the British Museum, David Cameron implied that Brexit could lead to war:

“Can we be so sure that peace and stability on our continent are assured beyond any shadow of doubt? Is that a risk worth taking?

“I would never be so rash as to make that assumption.

“Britain has a fundamental national interest in maintaining common purpose in Europe to avoid future conflict between European countries.

“And that requires British leadership, and for Britain to remain a member.”

This suggestion is the latest in a series of government warnings against Brexit. It has been met with disbelief, with Boris Johnson suggesting the PM doesn’t believe it himself:

“I don’t think the prime minister can seriously believe that leaving the EU would trigger war on the European continent given that he was prepared only a few months ago to urge that people should vote leave if they failed to get a substantially reformed European Union.”

Indeed, only a few months ago David Cameron was saying the UK could “thrive” outside the EU. If Cameron wants to suggest that Brexit would mean Britain’s ruination he must show what has changed since then to make him change his mind.

By making threats which even he doesn’t seem to believe, the Prime Minister is undermining confidence in his integrity and damaging the cause of Remain. The PM must tone down “Project Fear”. If he does not, voters may conclude that Remain will say anything to scare voters into backing remain. Losing the voters’ trust is the quickest way to losing their votes – and so to losing the campaign.